Truss Widens UK Poll Lead as U-Turn on Public-Worker Pay Gives Sunak Hope With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. Crucially for the Union, the SNP would be some distance off a majority share if the election was to be regarded as a 'de facto' referendum on independence, as Nicola Sturgeon has suggested. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. And while 33 per cent said the UK Government was wrong to have blocked the bill, 50 per cent said it was right or within its rights to do so. Scottish independence: yes campaign gets poll boost In the latter part of 2020, the Conservatives lead in the polls diminished significantly. Pollster. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted following Kwasi Kwarteng's 'mini-Budget'shows the Tories have taken a severe hit following the poor reception to the Growth Plan. N.B. And 50% of those who voted Lib Dem in 2019 would now vote for Labour, up from 27% at the start of this week. Get the latest news from the Express straight to your inbox. Voting Intention polls & surveys | YouGov Combining deep sector expertise with local knowledge to provide you with a deep understanding of your industry. Yougov (February 20) which placed the Yes side on 46.2% and the No side on 53.8%, post adjusting for undecided voters. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided. Prince Harry's U.K. Popularity Down 35 Points Since Meghan WeddingPolling It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Todays poll found that, among those who expressed a view, 76 per cent of voters believe the Scottish governments plans to change the law on gender recognition would pose a safety risk in women-only spaces, such as prisons, hospital wards and changing rooms while some 24 per cent disagreed. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? Support for the SNP, for Nicola Sturgeon and for Scottish independence has fallen sharply as the partys crisis over transgender rights deepens. Humza Yousaf blasted as he promises to spend taxpayer cash on more independence prospectuses, The Scottish Government health secretary, and front-runner to replace Nicola Sturgeon as First Minister, used his speech in Arbroath to claim that he was going to 'kickstart the independence campaign', Ange Postecoglou hails Reo Hatate Celtic impact as he makes 'another couple of levels' claim. ", Question asked: "As you may know, the UK Supreme Court has ruled that the Scottish Parliament cannot hold another independence referendum without the UK Government's agreement. Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. It remains to be seen how support for independence will pan out now Rishi Sunak has become prime minister, King Charles III has succeeded Elizabeth II, and as Nicola Sturgeon steps down as first minister. NewsNow: Opinion polls news | Every Source, Every Five Minutes, 24/7 news Champion Newspapers Limited 20:21 22-Feb-23. But we can't do it without you. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here.. Scottish Opinion Polls News | Latest Opinion Polls - NewsNow Poll reveals impact of Nicola Sturgeon's resignation on voting and independence. Those who are likely voters, don't know, or wouldn't vote are excluded. ", Nicola Sturgeon claims no laws were broken during ferry contract scandal, SNP's 'politics of division' does 'not change' people's lives, says Anas Sarwar, The SNP benches will be a LOT quieter in future according to these new polls. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Voting Intention. BBC Scotland Gender Recognition Act Poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes, reported by the BBC 17 Feb 2022Full Results I DataMain findings: 57% would support making the process to acquire a gender recognition certificate easier but that support dropped when asked about specific proposals. At 64 per cent, those respondents most likely to lean towards voting Green at the next election were also most likely to say that they support the GRR bill and that the UK Governments veto was wrong. Forgot your password? LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Support for British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative party has slipped behind the opposition Labour party to its lowest level since the 2019 national. It was one of the biggest news stories of our. Keir Starmer's lead over Rishi Sunak has increased to 7 pointsin terms of the party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, by 34% (+2) to 27% (-1). Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . A YouGov poll published this morning (2 March) makes encouraging reading for the Prime Minister. Boost for Scottish independence as new poll puts Yes up four points The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeon's approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. The Conservatives meanwhile have dropped to 21% of current vote intention, down seven points. Nicola Sturgeon expected to resign as Scottish First Minister today But why? A high percentage of respondents agreeing that people should be free to express their transgender identity does not however translate into support for reforming the Gender Recognition Act based on self-declaration. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. In all polls the dont knows are removed. YouGov: The Times: GB 2,003 23% 46%: 9% 4% 7% 8% 3%. In the aftermath of the 2019 General Election, the Conservative party enjoyed a healthy lead in the opinion polls. Sponsors of pro-Obi opinion polls creating grounds for post-election violence. Published by Statista Research Department , Feb 15, 2023. Ben Walker is a senior data journalist at the New Statesman and writes extensively about elections and UK public opinion. In the run-up to the next Scottish Parliament election, various organisations are conducting opinion polls to gauge voting intentions.Results of such polls are displayed in this list. The Japanese midfielder was handed the February Player of the Month award. The figures show the Conservatives on 28% of the vote (-4 from our previous survey on 21-23 September) to Labour's 45% (+5) - this is the highest Labour lead YouGov has ever recorded. The Conservatives continued to record significant poll leads over Labour almost consistently throughout 2020 and 2021, with only a brief interlude in autumn 2020 where this narrowed. conservative party Labour Party Scotland SNP Referendum Poll Latest News: February 5, 2023 - Bloomberg Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Scottish independence. The Conservative party regained a minor amount of ground in the first 3 weeks of the Rishi Sunak premiership, but Mr Sunaks honeymoon period has been short lived, and those advances stalled soon after Jeremy Hunts financial statement. Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. Nicola Sturgeon Expected To Resign As Scottish First Minister Today But Why? Founded by Ben Walker and Lily Jayne Summers. Something went wrong, please try again later. You can also SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER . Poll Analysis: YouGov 17th - 20th of February 2023 - Ballot Box Scotland This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. The Aberdeen youth product is training with the under-21s after falling out-of-favour on Tyneside. A new poll published by YouGov Tuesday shows that Sunak would lose to any of his three remaining rivals among Tory members in a final two-way round of votes. Support for Scottish independence nudged up to 50% for the first time in 2019, soon after Boris Johnson became prime minister. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. Ballot Box Scotland - Democracy in Detail In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. In the early part of 2023, Labour had started to increase its polling lead again and was once again approaching 50% in the polls. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. Ron DeSantis now leads former President Donald Trump by 5 percentage points in the race for the 2024 GOP presidential nomination. The YouGov poll of voting intention conducted over Wednesday and Thursday showed 54% support for Labour and 21% for the Conservatives. A new opinion poll has found that support for the Tories in Wales is in freefall. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Labour scalps would include Tommy Sheppard, Angus MacNeil, Douglas Chapman and Stewart McDonald. Last updated Feb 21, 2023 View all Surveys (8) The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. Similarly, the above analysis has been conducted based on the existing United Kingdom constituency boundaries. Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Savanta ComRes said that the poll result "should not be treated as a headline Savanta ComRes voting intention". Scottish independence poll shows support cooling as referendum draws At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages.

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