Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. Nov. 12, 2020, 11:00 AM UTC / . PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . What are red and blue states? Given the general nature and common perception of the two parties, "red state" implies a conservative region or a more conservative American, and "blue state" implies a more liberal region or a more liberal American. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used. It is not a red state. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. On Election Day, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? The source defines a mass shooting as a shooting where three or more people. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is between urban areas and inner suburbs and rural and exurban areas. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Nearly every town, city and patch of farmland in the country is "purple", a mixture of people, each of whose own political preferences can vary. 2020 Electoral Map Results. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Electoral votes invalidated. And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. By Allan James Vestal, Andrew Briz, Annette Choi, Beatrice Jin, Andrew McGill and Lily Mihalik. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. In recent years the state government has moved from purple with a democratic governor and a republican legislature with a modest majority, to fire engine red. Despite the prevalent winner-take-all practice, the minority always gets a sizable vote. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . "Amerika whlt Spiegel Online Nachrichten", "The Urban Archipelago: It's the Cities, Stupid", Choosing colors based on incumbent vs. challenger victory from November, 2004, The Honky Tonk Gap: Country Music, Red State Identity, and the Election of 2004, "Re-imagining the Red States: New Directions for Southern Studies. Regarding national politics, it is historically a "Red" state although in recent national elections it has gone"blue". High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. It feels like the new Florida. They propose partition of the U.S. as a way of allowing both groups to achieve their policy goals while reducing the chances of civil war. Trump, meanwhile, is trying to run up the score in those pro-fracking areas that already likehim. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic Same for GA senate races Charlie. Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. Like around the country, we're seeing. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. The lack of clear classes make these purple maps prone to the problems of color perception described above. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. "[27] Arguably, this eventually proved to be somewhat true, but not in McCain's favor as Obama won three "red" states that had not voted Democratic in many years, namely Virginia, North Carolina, and Indiana along with a part of deep red Nebraska, via the state's (much less conservative as a whole) second congressional district. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. Which ones are more politically competitive? Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. All Rights Reserved. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. elections. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. Special elections, if any, are excluded. He held his own in . Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. [41][note 1][42]. So how does all that look visually? Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. You have entered an incorrect email address! *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. But I've got news for them, too. McCain got a slight majority (52% to 47%) of households consisting of married couples; Obama led almost 21 (65% to 33%) among unmarried voters. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. I think it's the state to watch. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). 10. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. The presidential primary contests are usually decided before Pennsylvania holds its primary, which is on Tuesday, April 26, this year. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. Same Since 2000: After 2020 Election Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. If we do not know the outcome of the election tonight, is he cool, or does he try to claim victoryregardless? Error! Use arrow keys to move around the map. [21][22] Another problem relates to data classification. In 1908, The New York Times printed a special color map, using blue for Democrats and yellow for Republicans, to detail Theodore Roosevelt's 1904 electoral victory. The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. As a result, the blue counties tend to be the smaller ones so blue is visually less represented than it should be based on vote totals. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. Will Israel Strike Before Iran Buys Russian S-400 Air Defense Systems. In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. Tap or hover to see names. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. took back Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by surging in the suburbs. But What about Investing in Bonds? In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. There was an error processing your request. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". But Pennsylvania is now red. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. All Rights Reserved. However, the combination of higher vote margins than Clinton in Tucson (Pima County) and Maricopa's flip from red to blue meant Biden still prevailed inthe state. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%.While still an important prize, with 19 electoral votes, Pennsylvania, like many industrial northern states, has seen population migrate away in recent decades. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". Explained! ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. Which means he's a Nebraska-02 (where he's currently leading) away from hitting 270 on the number, WITHOUT Pennsylvania and Maine's 2ndDistrict. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. For the GOP, this represented 179 electoral votes. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Thus Trump ended with all 20 of Pennsylvanias electoral votes. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out.

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